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Scenario guide / Multi-strategy portfolio simulator

Barbell sleeves with lower shared risk

A barbell mix of steadier sleeves and a higher-octane breakout sleeve that shows how low shared correlation can improve the total stack.

Portfolio return

10.8%

Portfolio volatility

7.9%

Portfolio Sharpe

1.37

Diversification ratio

1.72

Median terminal

2.09x

Median max drawdown

10%

Why this scenario matters

This scenario helps explain why a volatile sleeve is not automatically bad if it brings different risk to the portfolio and is sized appropriately.

  • A higher-vol sleeve can help if it is weakly correlated with the rest of the stack.
  • Portfolio quality depends on interaction terms, not only standalone returns.
  • Sizing and correlation together determine whether the barbell works.

Sleeves in this stack

Stat arb

35% weight · 9% return · 7% vol · corr A/B 0.10

Carry

35% weight · 8% return · 11% vol · corr B/C -0.20

Vol breakout

30% weight · 16% return · 24% vol · corr A/C -0.05