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Scenario guide / Multi-strategy portfolio simulator

Correlated crowding across three sleeves

A high-correlation setup that shows how a portfolio can look diversified on paper while still carrying one dominant risk under the hood.

Portfolio return

10.2%

Portfolio volatility

16.0%

Portfolio Sharpe

0.63

Diversification ratio

1.10

Median terminal

1.77x

Median max drawdown

26%

Why this scenario matters

This is the scenario to show someone when they keep adding sleeves but the total stack still behaves like one macro bet with prettier labels.

  • High pairwise correlation can erase much of the diversification story.
  • Extra sleeves do not guarantee a smoother path.
  • Correlation structure matters as much as the individual sleeve Sharpe ratios.

Sleeves in this stack

Trend

40% weight · 11% return · 18% vol · corr A/B 0.78

Breakout

35% weight · 10% return · 19% vol · corr B/C 0.72

Beta-neutral

25% weight · 9% return · 15% vol · corr A/C 0.67